Analysis, predictions, and rhetoric…

Ruy Teixeira’s latest Public Opinion Watch analyzes the poll numbers for the SOTU address. The results are mixed. Teixeira concludes from his analysis that #43 could go the way of #41. He says:

The actual fighting is likely to be over with quickly, with a messy and expensive aftermath to manage for an indefinite period. That’s when doubts about the Iraq war and how it fits into the struggle against terrorism–now somewhat subdued but hardly gone–are likely to reemerge. Combine that with a troubled economy and a sense the president’s policies aren’t working and don’t make sense–already abundantly present–and you have a recipe for real political trouble.

This quote has me wondering about the rhetorical value of political analysis and prediction. More later…